1. Uranium Enrichment Levels (IAEA Reports)
- The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has confirmed:
- Iran is enriching uranium to 60% purity.
- Weapons-grade uranium is 90% purity.
- Enriching to 60% has no civilian use — it’s far beyond what’s needed for nuclear energy or medicine.
- As of 2024, Iran had enough enriched uranium stockpile that, if further enriched, could produce at least one nuclear bomb’s worth of fissile material in weeks.
📄 Source: IAEA Quarterly Reports (2022–2024)
2. Undeclared Nuclear Activities
- IAEA found traces of man-made uranium at undeclared sites (e.g., in Turquzabad and Abadeh).
- Iran has refused full access or delayed inspections at sensitive sites.
- This raises suspicion of hidden nuclear weapons-related work.
📄 Source: IAEA safeguards violations, 2020–2023
3. Past Weapons Design Research (“AMAD Plan”)
- In 2011, the IAEA concluded that Iran had a structured program to develop a nuclear weapon under the “AMAD Plan” before 2003.
- Though halted, elements of that research continued in secret.
- Israel’s 2018 seizure of Iran’s nuclear archive (“Atomic Archive”) from a Tehran warehouse confirmed:
- Warhead design
- Weaponization testing
- Delivery system studies (missiles)
📄 Source: IAEA, Mossad (Israeli intelligence), Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS)
4. Advanced Centrifuge Installation
- Iran is installing and operating advanced centrifuges (IR-6, IR-9) that can enrich uranium faster and more efficiently.
- This shortens the “breakout time” (the time needed to produce a bomb once the decision is made).
📄 Source: IAEA inspections at Natanz and Fordow
5. Reduced Cooperation with IAEA
- Since 2021, Iran has:
- Turned off surveillance cameras
- Expelled or restricted IAEA inspectors
- Stopped complying with the Additional Protocol (which allows snap inspections)
- This has raised serious concerns that Iran could be hiding weaponization efforts.
📄 Source: IAEA Director-General’s reports to the UN
Summary:
There is no definitive proof that Iran has built or tested a nuclear bomb, but multiple layers of evidence — especially from the IAEA — strongly indicate that Iran is:
- Close to weapons-grade enrichment
- Reviving or maintaining weapons-relevant research
- Deliberately obstructing inspections
This is why Israel, the U.S., and others see Iran’s nuclear activities as a major threat, and why the issue continues to fuel regional tension.
Let me know if you want a timeline of Iran’s nuclear milestones or a breakdown of IAEA language over the years.
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